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Silk Road discussion / Re: escrowed fund are not safe
« on: April 13, 2013, 04:31 pm »No vendor is losing money. And no vendor should be complaining.
O RLY?
Vendors aren't loosing money? get out of here... vendor sells a gram of weed for 0.09 btc, order goes through everybody happy. Then 4hour later the price crashes and that same gram of weed is now priced at 0.12 btc.. the vendor lost 0.3btc. get with it iv been speaking to a couple of fellow vendors and its agreed that we are in the shit if this price doesn't stabilize.
First I don't call selling a gram of weed making money. I mean do disrespect so don't get all upset at me saying that. You will agree that it very little money.
The point I was trying to make is that us vendors...MOST of us...make a lot of money...and in general the btc has done NOTHING but go up the last 11 months... And other then the vendors that were selling things at the $250 per coin...and then that dropped to where it is now or even lower...yes they 'lost" money...But in reality you dont lose anything until you sell the btc...
All of us just use the BTC as like a token..So if you sell your gram of weed for $30 bucks...and at that tine the coin was worth $250 a coin...then they finalized and the coin was worth $125 then yes you "lost" money...but you really didn't..you lost value. You don't lose the money until you sell the coin. And if you are smart enough you hold on to the coin and wait..as within 7 days it will be back up over $200.
But at the time I made the post I was referring to not only what I said up there...but also that the btc has gone up from the $20 range to the $50 to the $70..then it exploded to the $130 and basically went up $20+ per day every day...and when I wrote this my point was that as a vendor I believe that 95% of us have killed it...meaning we have sold something at $50 per btc and by the time the finalized it was $70 plus... Not only that but as I said above...we get paid on SR in BTC...so it is not like the buyer finalized and then within the hour you are converting those coins to cash...sure some do but again 99% of vendors take a while to do that.(sell there coins)
And so even though the market took a 50% to 70% hit it does not matter as long as you don't sell the coins..
So lets say last Friday it was at its high point of $270 on SR....then it starts diving...well if you just do not panic and can hold on it will come back...as it kind of has...It is not like it was $270 for 10 days and now it is $70 for the last 14 days... And when I made my simple post saying vendors are not really losing money...I was referring to the fact that most vendors have killed it...not only that...but the crash is just on paper...so as long as you didn't panic and sell the coins you had just got at $270 for $70...you are just fine.
As to the vendor I quoted... As my first line says...I was not trying to offend you by saying that your .08 btc sale is shit...but lets just be honest..that is a very little amount of money in the first place.... and unless you sold 5000 grams at .009 at the high of $270 per coin...I don't think you lost a lot of money. Also 100's of people read the forums..lets even call it 1000's...no message I or anyone can post is to everyone. I think that most (80%) are smart enough to understand that I am not saying every vendor and I do not need to be so delicate in the message I posted. People on here take things so personal(not even talking about you) ..I mean just in general. Also in here 300 people will read it..yet 1 asshole will respond...
So I am saying that most vendors will not lose a lot of money with the btc losing value. Also most vendors have actually made a killing with the btc going up so much that I was also saying that vendors should not start crying (again not talking about you) now that the btc has gone down 50% as in fact it went up 1000% in the last 3 months. As a vendor you should be smart enough to figure out the btc market pretty well and be prepared for this. And again I think MOST vendors were. As not a lot of them made post freaking out. And you are the one vendor that made your post and you are talking about grams of weed at .009...I mean I clearly was not talking about you and your little hobby. Also I think even you would come in here and admit you didn't get crushed by this. At least I hope this would not crush you...if it did then I am sorry BUT you should look to do something else.
As to the buyer that said when they should finalize...do so as you always would..when you get the product. It makes no difference when you finalize. As you pay in btc and when you paid 3 btc...it is going to be 3 btc the vendor gets not matter when you finalize...also in lite of what has been happening I would think that most vendors are just holding on to there coins right now anyways.
And as I have made clear...no one is losing any money on the vendor side unless they were dumb enough to sell there item at $270 per coin...and then they had to sell their coin at $100 a piece. There are a lot of vendors on here so I am sure 1 or 2 had to, But I would think 99% did not sell there coin and are waiting it out...
Also as a buyer...just use your coin as soon as you get it on SR...that way you cant get hurt..as most of you only buy the coin so you can shop in SR...so if you buy the coin...then you use it..who cared what the price of the btc is...just as long as you are smart enough to buy it at $100 and use it at $100. A lot of people that do not know shit have complained about how SR is slow to update their prices. When in fact that is simply not true. But also what it causes is a great thing for the buyer as you know exactly where the coin is going..so if you send you coin into SR ...you don't have to worry about it tanking in 5 min. It just does not happen. If you time it right...you will never lose a dollar.
Hope everyone that reads this understands it. I tried to write it as idiot proof.
-The gram of weed is completely irrelevant, it was just an example.
-As for you saying vendors don't loose money, is completely ridiculous. Sure, the number of btc we have doesn't change but the value diminishes meaning it is worth less, meaning we loose money. -------
NO YOU DON'T LOSE MONEY...YOU LOSE VALUE. BUT THE VALUE HAS ALWAYS RISEN AND FALLEN. AND AGAIN I DON'T THINK THAT MANY VENDORS LOST THAT MUCH MONEY IN VALUE. I PROMISE THEY LOST A LOT MORE BY WHAT IT DID TO THE COINS THEY HAVE ON HAND VS WHAT THEY SOLD. BUT FOR THIS ARGUMENT, I WAS ONLY TALKING ABOUT VENDORS THAT WERE SELLING DURING THIS TIME AND WERE NOT SMART ENOUGH TO HANDLE IT CORRECTLY. I KNOW A VENDOR IS GOING TO TAKE ISSUE WITH ME SAYING "SMART ENOUGH" BUT THAT IS A FACT. I COULD HAVE ALSO USED SEASONED ENOUGH OR EVEN HAD ENOUGH EXPERIENCE TO KNOW WHAT TO DO. BUT NOT SMART ENOUGH SOUNDS BETTER
SO I WILL STICK BY MY STATEMENT THAT MOST VENDORS DIDN'T LOSE MONEY. AND THE ONES THAT DID WOULD HAVE HAD TO SELL THE BTC FOR THE LOSS...OTHER WISE THEY DIDN'T LOSE EITHER. ALSO AS I SAID IN MY LONG POST...IF YOU KNOW WHAT TO DO..THERE IS NO WAY ANY VENDOR SHOULD HAVE LOST A CENT.
-Imagine going to a different country, buying their money so we can spend it in there country. All of a sudden this country's economy goes to shit and the money we bought is worth nothing. We still have the same amount of physical money but it is worth much less so we have lost money. Ps this is an example don't get carried away.------------
IT IS JUST A REALLY BAD EXAMPLE. I GET WHERE YOU ARE GOING BUT IT JUST DOES NOT RELATE. WHAT EXAMPLE DOES IS THIS ONE. IMAGINE YOU ONLY BOUGHT BTC SO THAT YOU CAN THEN SEND THEM TO SR TO BUY DRUGS. IF YOU WERE NOT DOING THAT..YOU WOULD NEVER HAVE BOUGHT DRUGS. SO YOU BUY THE BTC AND YOU SEND IT TO SR. THE PROBLEM IS YOU PAID FOR $800 WORTH OF BTC AND YOU ONLY HAVE $700 IN YOUR ACCOUNT...SO YOU DECIDE TO JUST WAIT A FEW HOURS..YOU FALL ASLEEP...WHEN YOU WAKE UP THAT $700 IS NOW $1375. SO YOU PAY FOR YOUR ORDER AND NOW YOU HAVE YOUR ORDER PAID FOR AS IT WAS $890 AND YOU WERE SUPPOSED TO ONLY HAVE $10 LEFT...BUT INSTEAD YOU HAVE$475.
YES THIS IS AN EXAMPLE AND ONE THAT HAPPENED TO ALMOST EVERY SINGLE BUYER IN THE LAST 6 MONTHS..BUT REALLY HAPPENED IN THE LAST 3 MONTHS. AND IT IS EVEN BETTER FOR THE VENDORS...SO GOOD IN FACT I AM EMBARRASSED TO TELL PEOPLE WHAT HAPPENED TO ME AND OTHER VENDOR I KNOW...AND EVEN WITH THE CRASH WE MADE MONEY. AGAIN ALL THE NUMBERS ARE JUST ON PAPER...ALSO THEY WILL GO BACK UP.
ONE OTHER THING....I SAW A POST A FEW BACK FROM AN IDIOT THAT QUOTED ME SAYING IT WILL BE BACK TO 200+ SOON...HE SAID I WAS DREAMING...AGAIN THIS KID IS A CERTIFIED MORON...BUT I WILL ADDRESS IT..THE BTC WILL GO BACK UP...IT WILL GO EVEN HIGHER. IT IS JUST A MATTER OF TIME...AND NOT A LOT OF TIME...LIKE LESS THEN 10 DAYS. AND WHEN IT DOES WILL YOU MIAMI RESPECTFULLY SHUT THE FUCK UP...AS IT WILL ONCE AGAIN PROVE I AM RIGHT AND YOU ARE WRONG...AGAIN!
-Last thing, for you to say the btc price is going to go back up into la la land ($230+) is something I doubt. I think we will most likely see a small increase and then another panic sell which will plummet btc even more.
I KIND OF ADDRESSED THAT IN THE END OF THE LAST POST. LET ME FIRST START OFF SAYING I LIKE HOW YOU MADE YOUR ARGUMENTS. I CHOSE TO JUST TYPE IN CAPS AND ADDRESS EACH ONE BECAUSE TO QUOTE THEM TAKES WAY TO LONG. SORRY TO EVERYONE THAT HATES CAPS...I HAVE BEEN AROUND WHEN IT WENT TO 40 BACK TO 30 CENTS...IT WAS BEYOND CRAZY THEN. DPR WAS A VENDOR AND NOTHING WAS RUN LIKE IT IS..AND IT WAS ALMOST IMPOSSIBLE TO MAKE MONEY WITH THE CRASHES. WELL I BRING THAT UP BECAUSE I HAVE SEEN SO MANY STUPID POST TALKING ABOUT THE BUBBLE, TALKING ABOUT SHOULD THEY SELL THERE CAR AND MANY MANY MORE WHERE THEY GET THERE INFO JUST READING THE OTC BOARDS ON BTC AND THEN THEY COME IN HERE AND SPREAD THERE BULLSHIT. THEY SAID THE DICE WAS BEHIND A HACK AND THEY HAVE SAID 100'S OF OTHER WRONG THINGS. SUPPLY AND DEMAND IS WHAT RAISES PRICES AND LOWERS THEM...BUT WHAT HAS HAPPENED THE LAST MONTH...IS TRADERS STARTED BUYING UP COINS...AND THEY HAVE A NUMBER IT IS GOING TO GO TO...AND I CAN TELL YOU IT IS A LOT HIGHER THEN 250. AND WHEN PEOPLE SELL IF AS THEY DID, THIS MARKET IS SO NEW AND SO SMALL THAT IT JUST CAUSES A PANIC...IN FACT 80% OF LARGE PURCHASES ARE NOT EVEN ACCOUNTED FOR. AND THERE ARE A TON OF REASONS TO SIT HERE AND EXPLAIN WHY IT WILL GO BACK UP. I WONT BORE YOU WITH THAT. I WILL TELL YOU RESPECTFULLY THAT YES I DO BELIEVE THAT THE BTC WILL BE BACK OVER 200 THIS COMING WEEK. I PERSONALLY HOP IT GOS LOWER...BUT THAT IS A FANTASY DREAM. I DO KNOW THAT YOU DON.T LOSE A THING IF YOU DO NOT SELL. AND YOU WONT HAVE TO WAIT LONG. I WOULD SUGGEST THAT IF YOU ARE A VENDOR THAT MOVES PRODUCT...YOU SHOULD GET INTO BUYING BTC TO HEDGE AND FOR A LOT OF OTHER REASONS...IF YOU DID THAT..YOU WOULD NEVER HAVE A WORRY. ALSO, AS I SAID IN ANOTHER POST...MOST THE VENDORS COMPLAINING ARE VERY SMALL TIME VENDORS AND THOSE VENDORS NEED TO TURN AROUND AND SELL THEIR COIN RIGHT AWAY...AND THOSE VENDORS WILL LOSE SOME MONEY...BUT THEY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY MADE A KILLING ON WHAT HAS HAPPENED BEFORE THIS...SO AGAIN I WILL SAY..NO VENDOR SHOULD HAVE LOST A PENNY.