Quote from: whirledpeas on October 18, 2012, 09:49 amWow, if there were 1,327 arrests, and the USPS processes 300 million peices of mail per DAY, then your odds of getting arrested are .000000012% or 12 in 100,000,000. Damn! Those are some pretty good odds ;)Quote from: whirledpeas on October 18, 2012, 10:19 amBeing a little more curious on the statistics of this thing, I found that the USPS moved 172 Billion pieces of mail in 2011, and make 1,327 (we assume drug-related) arrests.... That actually puts the odds of your package getting randomly intercepted to somthing more like 1 in 133 Million. I'm guessing that most of those arrests weren't just magicly discovered. They probably had intel in the first place or the package just simply broke open making your odds even better... I'm guessing more like 1 in 200 million!This just goes to prove it's people mouths, lack of computer skills and doing stupid things that get them busted. Not what their package looks likeThe odds of getting hit by lighting in any given year are: 1 in 1 million.It would seem you are 133 times more likely to be hit by lighting than to be convicted for acquiring drugs on the Silk Road.However I think this is kind of a statistical fallacy since you are a member of a special targeted group rather than a random person from the population. i.e. this particular lightening tends to hit drug consumers/vendors disproportionately vs the entire population.Nevertheless... And against that we have the fact SR vendors use sophisticated techniques and planning to ensure their packages are less likely to be intercepted. I would say SR vendors who follow guidance are about ten to hundred times less likely to be intercepted as opposed to the clowns from Topix who are largely our competition (lol).This is the knowledge the U.S government and other States are extremely keen to prevent broader awareness of. They don't like people knowing they have no real control, and that Operation Pangea is just a big PR stunt with about as much effect as a gnat's bite on an elephant hide, let alone a crafty platypus plot.I echo your sentiments about OpSec. it is opsec that will determine who gets busted and who doesn't. Ideally a vendor should operate cleanly, completely separated from his or her previous drug connects.