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Messages - astor

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1636
Silk Road discussion / Re: Vendors going on Hiatus due to BTC
« on: April 11, 2013, 11:07 pm »
Only very stupid vendors with no hedging would be in trouble.

An interesting statement considering all the threads a week ago saying, "I feel sorry for you vendors that hedged."

1637
Trading on MtGox opens in about 4 hours. I am itching with anticipation. TBH, this has all been very entertaining and educational to me.

Time to make myself a drink.

1638
Yeah have to love that hideous catch-22:

"Psilocybin is a schedule 1 drug because it has no therapeutic use."
"Let us research it and find out if it has any therapeutic uses."
"It has no therapeutic uses. We know this because that is what it means to be a schedule 1 drug."

+1, exactly.

I would phrase it as,

"Psilocybin is a schedule 1 drug because it has no therapeutic use."
"Let us research it and find out if it has any therapeutic uses."
"Sorry, you can't do that, it's a Schedule 1 drug."

1639
Obviously this creates an arbitrage, buy on the exchanges and spend on SR for a 60% gain.  The problem is that the loser is the seller, who is inclined to cancel the purchase rather than take a loss.

That's what hedging is for.

1640
Silk Road discussion / Re: BITCOIN TAKING A CRAP!
« on: April 11, 2013, 05:12 pm »
Blue Sky Traders is down for the day, too. Pretty hard to get coins in this environment.

Like most independent exchangers, they probably trade on MtGox.

1641
Security / Re: BTC speculation hyper bubble
« on: April 11, 2013, 04:08 pm »
i feel like its not gunna go back up ANYWHERE near 250 again.. anytime soon at least..

Why? The reason we're in this mess is because MtGox can't handle the volume of people who want in on bitcoin. There were 65,000 new accounts created on MtGox in all of March, but 20,000 *per day* in April. That's a 10 fold increase. And those people were willing to buy BTC when it was over $200. Why wouldn't they buy like crazy when BTC goes below $100?

1642
Security / Re: BTC speculation hyper bubble
« on: April 11, 2013, 03:49 pm »
so will SR price only change once mtgox updates? if so.. it would mean any coins in there would loose more then half its value in about a hour.. damn i really thought that WOULDNT happen lol guess thats just life.. if i was a vender i wouldnt be selling shit till 2maro..

SR thinks a btc is worth 161 or something like that

SR uses the MtGox 24 hour average. In 12 hours, with the MtGox price stuck at $120, it will be close to $120. When trading resumes, who knows what will happen, but even if the BTC price plummets, the 24 hour average will drop much more slowly.

See, everybody was complaining about how the SR price lagged behind the actual price when it was booming, but now you can understand the advantage of it. Even if BTC price will be $50 tomorrow, your coins will be worth over $100 on SR.

1643
Security / Re: BTC speculation hyper bubble
« on: April 11, 2013, 03:34 pm »
It's hovering around $65-70 on btc-e.com.

1644
Silk Road discussion / Re: BITCOIN TAKING A CRAP!
« on: April 11, 2013, 03:22 pm »
MtGox has suspended trading because once again they can't handle the volume.

You can buy bitcoins right now for $65 on btc-e.com (and dropping fast).

Damn, if I could fund a btc-e account, I could scoop up some coins really cheap. The only option that I recognize for funding an account is Bitinstant, and that doesn't sound safe from all the people complaining about it.

1645
Security / Re: BTC speculation hyper bubble
« on: April 11, 2013, 03:06 pm »
Have they suspended trading? The lag is 3 seconds now, but the last trade was over an hour ago. All the "bitcoin charts" sites show the same thing.

I don't know what the fuck is going on.

Edit: Yep, https://twitter.com/MtGox/status/322355614414147588

1646
Security / Re: BTC speculation hyper bubble
« on: April 11, 2013, 01:48 pm »
Oh good, so it's a real DDOS attack today. Lag is 7 minutes now.

1647
Security / Re: BTC speculation hyper bubble
« on: April 11, 2013, 01:44 pm »
Should I invest some $ in bitcoin or is it too late now?

Well, if yesterday was any indication, and we are experiencing the same thing today, you might be able to buy BTC for under $100 in a little while.

1648
Security / Re: BTC speculation hyper bubble
« on: April 11, 2013, 01:40 pm »
$120 now. MtGox lag is 300 seconds. So much for those new servers, huh.

1649
Silk Road discussion / Re: BITCOIN TAKING A CRAP!
« on: April 11, 2013, 04:07 am »
What made that explanation plausible to me -- in fact, even likely -- was the 40 minute lag. I honestly didn't think traders alone could cause it, but apparently MtGox's infrastructure is that laughably inadequate.

1650
Technically, yes.

However, it's much harder to create a Google account over Tor. You will most likely have to get a burner phone to SMS verify your account and there may be other difficulties and blocks when accessing the account from many different IPs triggers their security mechanisms.

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