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Messages - astor

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1531
Security / Re: Bitcoin Wallet Syncing - How long does it take?
« on: April 19, 2013, 09:12 pm »
Depending on your computer and network connection, it can take anywhere from a few hours to a few days.

You can bootstrap the block chain with a torrent, which speeds the process along.

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=145386.0

1532
Security / Re: Update your Security!
« on: April 19, 2013, 07:58 pm »
I wasn't able to find specific information about that, but Tails uses LUKS/dm-crypt for encryption, so presumably it implements a safe and standard cipher like AES-256-CBC.

As long as you use a strong password, you should be fine.


1533
Security / Re: CUSTOM ENTRY AND EXIT TOR NODES
« on: April 19, 2013, 06:41 pm »
LOL, I wonder who this is.

1534
Security / Re: Update your Security!
« on: April 19, 2013, 06:19 pm »
This is a complicated topic, and there isn't one central thread about it, more like dozens. Furthermore, there is always a trade off between security and convenience, so it really depends on what you are willing to do.

For example, I would tell you to ditch Windows, but most people aren't willing to do that, or have special requirements for using it.

The simplest advice is to use Tails. It solves a lot of problems for you: it has a suite of torified applications and provides transparent proxying to protect against data leaks. It's Linux, so malware is pretty much nonexistent. It's portable, you can put it on thumb drive which can be flushed down the toilet in an emergency, but you also have the option of enabling a persistent volume, where you can save data like URLs (to protect against phishing) and strong passwords.

1535
Security / Re: Design flaw in 1Password password manager found
« on: April 19, 2013, 04:18 am »
Isn't this why you don't roll your own encryption and stick with the standards, or is there a problem with one of the standards?

1536
Nobody knows.

Here's an interesting thing about the market. If it were widely known that bitcoins will increase in value to $500 by the end of the year, everybody would buy bitcoins until they increased to $500 right now. The current market price is exactly what most people believe bitcoins are worth, or will ever be worth. Yes, some people believe they will be worth more, but the reason they are able to buy them is because other people are selling them, believing they will be worth less. The weighted average, minus a few technicalities, is exactly the last trade.

BTW, I like your sig.



1537
Off topic / Re: Addicted too.....
« on: April 18, 2013, 11:59 pm »
Anybody who's read my posts knows me better than anyone who actually sees my face when I'm talking to them.

Damn, this is so true. There's a whole aspect of my life that only this community knows about, yet nobody here knows my name.

That's the liberating thing about anonymity, I guess.

1538
Silk Road discussion / Re: BTC Pricing Predictions?
« on: April 18, 2013, 09:52 pm »
I don't know, but we're at $103 now. Huge trades going on, 900, 800, 500 BTC.

1539
Security / Re: History of bitcoin prices
« on: April 18, 2013, 09:09 pm »
This API doesn't let you download all the data, but you can query it to find historic prices at specific times:

http://bitcoincharts.com/about/markets-api/




1540
Security / Re: ISP's and TOR
« on: April 18, 2013, 09:00 pm »
Oh, as to how they do it, the relays are public and lists are available in a variety of places. You can browse them at torstatus.blutmagie.de. So ISPs can easily get all the IP addresses of relays and block them (or watch connections to them).

Finding bridge users is more difficult. Either the BridgDB has to be queried from multiple angles, or they DPI for Tor hand shakes. Obfsproxy bridges use transports that look like other kinds of connections, making that more difficult.

1541
Security / Re: ISP's and TOR
« on: April 18, 2013, 08:57 pm »
Yes, they can detect Tor use. ISPs in places like China, Iran and Syria actively block connections to Tor relays.

I am not aware of western ISPs engaging in widespread monitoring of Tor use, although there may be specific LE requests for it.

In the United States alone there are 75,000 daily Tor users, and maybe a quarter million connect in a given month. Seems to me it would be exceedingly difficult to watch all those people with very little return on that surveillance, since you don't know what they are doing on the other end.

There have been specific cases where the FBI used a person's Tor use as evidence, but they were also monitoring activities on the other end.

http://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2012/03/stakeout-how-the-fbi-tracked-and-busted-a-chicago-anon/


Also, there are ways to make it more difficult to detect, such as using (obfsproxy) bridges or VPNs.

1542
Security / Re: Will Silk Road Kill Bitcoin for Good?
« on: April 18, 2013, 08:47 pm »
Whether or not that article is correct, that is one snazzy graphic.

Let's put some different numbers on it. Adi Shamir and a colleague analyzed the block chain up to block 180,000 and determined that 22% of bitcoins were in circulation (78% have never been transferred between addresses). Assuming that number is still valid, of the 11 million coins that have been mined, about 2.4 million are in circulation. At the current exchange rate, that's $240 million of wealth.

Of course, not all of these coins are being exchanged for state backed currency. Many of them are simply transferred between addresses owned by the same person. It's impossible to know how many are exchanged, because even if we knew how much trade was going on at all the exchanges, we know very little about F2F exchanges, like on localbitcoins.com.

Also, a lot of the coins are bought and sold multiple times by day traders. If I sell 10 BTC, wait for the price to drop a few percent, and buy back 10.5 BTC, on paper that looks like 20.5 BTC have been exchanged, but really only 0.5 BTC has.

So the real question is, how much money will be spent on bitcoins this year by people who don't later sell them. $50 million? Maybe, I have no idea.

Now let's look at Silk Road. The $22 million figure for annual sales is a lower bound. Nicolas Christin admits in his paper that he can only estimate the public listings, based on public reviews. We don't know how many stealth vendors and listings there are, and these may be the biggest sales on the site. Vendors build trusted relationships with a few buyers, then go stealth and offer bigger orders. It seems like you would want to, in order to make up for lost public sales. So SR's annual revenue could be twice the lower bound or more.

By that measure, SR makes up close to 100% of actual trade for goods and services in the bitcoin economy. :)

Well, who knows. It's all guess work. Don't believe that 20% figure in the article either, because they don't know.

But even in this scenario, what would it mean if SR goes out of business? Probably not much. There would still be $200 million in wealth transferred around and day traded, and that would continue, and probably grow.

1543
Thanks for the article.

I wonder who the respondents were. Did they survey 7000 UK adults of all ages or only people aged 18 to 25 or something like that? Because if 3% of the general UK population has bought drugs off SR, that would be a stunning number.

1544
Silk Road discussion / Re: Most expensive thing on SR ever?
« on: April 18, 2013, 06:51 am »
Nob's kilo of heroin is $69,500.

http://silkroadvb5piz3r.onion/silkroad/item/0e55379b32

Who knows if it's real.

1545
Off topic / Re: Silk Road chat via SILC now resides in IRC!
« on: April 18, 2013, 06:45 am »
If you're using the browser bundle, they changed the socks port to 9150 like a month ago.

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